will shenmue 3 outfund bloodstained?

Valve can't count to 3 tho (/ω＼)

Just going to point out that Star Citizen only amassed a little over 2 million during their KS campaign, so they don't really count I think.

I don't think Shenmue 3 surpassing Bloodstained will be looked at as good news in the long run. First of all, Shenmue 3 had massive exposure at E3, plus it's Shenmue 3 which everyone says is up there with the likes of Half Life 3, and a FF7R. People will look at it and say, "What? It only managed to surpass Bloodstained by that much? It even showed up at E3, and Bloodstained didn't! I guess Shenmue 3 isn't as big of a deal as I thought it was.". They'll see the stretch goals and think, "Wow, they only managed to get half their stretch goals? Hm... this is what happens when I believe in the hype too much."

That's actually not true.  Unlike most crowd funded games, Star Citizen got the majority of it's funding through Paypal even during the Kickstarter.  Between Kickstarter and Paypal they got $6.2 million with their initial crowd funding effort.  Of course we all knew what happened after...

As for the long run, I don't think dollar amounts will matter at all.  What will matter will be the games themselves.  Broken Age was one of the first major Kickstarter video game successes, but it's now not really a big deal because the second half of the game turned out not to be that great.  On the other hand, Pillars of Eternity turned out really well, and is well regarded as a result(obviously some people disagree, but that's any game).  No one really talks about PoE's crowd funding amount anymore because the game itself is good.

These Kickstarters are great for quickly building a community as well as the obvious financial assistance they bring, and that's one reason that I support them when I find a project I like(and can afford. I only pledged $5 to Shenmue 3 because I'm pretty broke right now).  But it's what comes after that's most important.  How the developer interacts with the community.  How well they make use of the funds available.  One of the reasons that Star Citizen has done so well post-KS is because they have been interacting with the community on a level that puts even Bloodstained's KS campaign to shame.  That isn't a slight against Igarashi; they've just been that good.  On the other hand, look at the issues Mighty No. 9 had with its community.  Actually, don't.  It's a mess, and prone to sparking flame wars.  

I think that Bloodstained will be remembered well on all fronts.  It had a great KS campaign, and I anticipate that the journey from here to the finished product will be a fun one.  And we already know that Igarashi can knock this sort of game out of the park in his sleep, so I can't imagine the game itself being anything less than stellar.  We'll see about Shenmue.  To be honest, I don't see Yu as the type to be as communicative during development, so it's all going to come down to their community manager, if they get one.  Because of that, I think that there will be more pressure put on the final product.  If I was to make a prediction, it would be that prior fans of Shenmue will love it, while opinions elsewhere will be more mixed simply because Shenmue really is a niche game.

Yeah, they've had a long wait after the cliffhanger ending of Shenmue 2...

I'm confident that they will do right by the fans and deliver them a game worthy of the name! 

This is why I'm personally hoping that they have PayPal open after the end of the KS to collect additional funding towards those goals

I called it guys a little more but still.

I thought they were going to end up around 6.5-7mil. That would have been possible with PayPal during the campaign

oh well

I wish there was a way you could see how much money was actually cleared.. like when BS' funding was over, there were dozens of people posting that their cash wasn't sent or it had an error or something. I'm not judging them or anything, but I imagine given the scope of the KS, that some of them never did manage to fix their issues, I wonder how much example. How much was BS SUPPOSED to get, and how much DID BS get, as well as shemue, and other ks campaigns.

Unless one of these things happen:
-AJ gets more gigs thanks to Shenmue getting millions, and completely kills the last chance of seeing some franchises come to life by mishandling future campaigns
-Shenmue not managing to get its overly-ambitious goal and Inafune's RA kickstarters doing poorly create the illusion that crowdfunding is a fad (in the eyes of the Japanese devs)

The former is very likely, as the average Japanese dev can't jump over the language barrier and will be poorly informed about the dealings in the West. They'll see that Shenmue is the most funded game and AJ will be able to sell them the story that they're behind the success easily.

The overall ranking is irrelevant, but Shenmue holding the number one spot as far as Japanese campaigns go is a bad thing.
Ben and his coworkers being able to say that they were behind the most funded Japanese campaign would have been considerably better for the industry, as the devs would get better (read: actually good) campaigns and more exposure to their Western audience.

I have no problem with Shenmue, but it carried AJ to heights that they shouldn't have ever reached and that could have very adverse effects on Japanese crowdfunding, which is still in its infancy.